About half of the measured global sea level rise on Earth is from warming waters and thermal expansion. See how we maintain these services for you. Water Outages View our current water outage map and read about how you can prepare for planned water outages. Park, J.J. Marra, C. Zervas and S. Gill (2014). About the data used in the interactive graph. All three utilities strive to operate in a cost-effective, innovative and environmentally responsible manner. We do our best to minimize the impact of our construction on your neighborhood. A LANDMARK UN report has warned sea levels will rise way faster than first thought by 2100, so how much of the UK will be under water by that time? The higher worst-case scenario—which is extremely unlikely, but can’t be ruled out—is largely due to new observations and modeling on ice loss from Antarctica and Greenland. By 2005, the glacier had retreated, and the lake had become a small grassland. Climate Projections. In the early 20th century, the glacier met the water and calved icebergs into a marginal lake near the bay. The pace of sea level rise accelerated beginning in the 1990s, coinciding with acceleration in glacier and ice sheet melting. Past and future sea level rise at specific locations on land may be more or less than the global average due to local factors: ground settling, upstream flood control, erosion, regional ocean currents, and whether the land is still rebounding from the compressive weight of Ice Age glaciers. Will your city or county be flooded by 2020? Antarctic ice loss nearly quadrupled from 51 billion tons per year between 1992 and 2001 to 199 billion tons per year from 2012-2016. By 2005, the glacier had retreated, and the lake had become a small grassland. Tide gauge stations from around the world have measured the daily high and low tides for more than a century, using a variety of manual and automatic sensors. To estimate how much of the observed sea level rise is due to thermal expansion, scientists measure sea surface temperature using moored and drifting buoys, satellites, and water samples collected by ships. Click on the map above for an interactive version. High-tide flooding is already a serious problem in many coastal communities, and it is only expected to get much worse in the future with continued rising seas. NASA photo by Maria-José Viñas. View our current water outage map and read about how you can prepare for planned water outages. Sea level can rise by two different mechanisms with respect to climate change. Global warming is causing global mean sea level to rise in two ways. The light blue line shows seasonal (3-month) sea level estimates from Church and White (2011). Sea level is measured by two main methods: tide gauges and satellite altimeters. For the densely populated Atlantic seaboard north of Virginia and the western Gulf of Mexico, sea level rise will likely be higher than the global average for all pathways. They depict how much various regions of the world have warmed or cooled when compared with a base period of 1951-1980. Map by NOAA Climate.gov based on data provided by Philip Thompson, University of Hawaii. We partner with schools to promote green practices. Construction projects can learn how to salvage or dispose of solid waste during and after the build, including hauling requirements and dust control. The weights for each gauge in the global mean are determined by a cluster analysis that groups gauges from locations where sea level tends to vary in the same way. Nerem, P.D. In many locations along the U.S. coastline, high-tide flooding is now 300% to more than 900% more frequent than it was 50 years ago. We manage public garbage and recycling cans and work to remove illegal dumping, graffiti, sharps, and other pollution in public places. The decadal average loss from glaciers in the World Glacier Monitoring Service’s reference network quintupled over the past few decades, from the equivalent of 6.7 inches (171 millimeters) of liquid water in the 1980s, to 18 inches (460 millimeters) in the 1990s, to 20 inches (-500 millimeters) in the 2000s, to 33 inches (850 millimeters) for 2010-2018. The water along Seattle's Puget Sound shoreline has risen by more than 6 inches during the past century. You can tour the Cedar River Watershed and hike nearby trails. Fires and floods: maps of Europe predict scale of climate catastrophe This article is more than 10 months old Without urgent action, rising sea levels by end of century could leave cities under water Discover tips for safer gatherings and ideas for alternative ways to celebrate. In 2012, at the request of the U.S. Ice loss from the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets as well as alpine glaciers has accelerated in recent decades. This shift of liquid water from land to ocean is largely due to groundwater pumping. We work to reduce sewer backups, overflow, pollution, and flooding. Global mean sea level has risen about 8–9 inches (21–24 centimeters) since 1880, with about a third of that coming in just the last two and a half decades. View central estimates. In no event will The City of Seattle be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from loss of data or profits arising out of, or in connection with, the use of any SLR information. Volunteer to remove graffiti or join a cleaning event. [online: https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/] Accessed November 18, 2019. Melt streams on the Greenland Ice Sheet on July 19, 2015. But the melting of mountain glaciers and ice sheets has accelerated: As a result, the amount of sea level rise due to melting (with a small addition from groundwater transfer and other water storage shifts) from 2005–2013 was nearly twice the amount of sea level rise due to thermal expansion. Using data from scores of stations around the world, scientists can calculate a global average and adjust it for seasonal differences. Geophysical Research Letters, 45(24), 13,367-13,376. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL081183, IPCC, 2019: Summary for Policymakers. Along almost all U.S. coasts outside Alaska, the 2017 projections indicate that sea level rise is likely to be higher than the global average for the three highest sea level rise pathways, thanks to local factors like land subsidence, changes in ocean currents, and regional ocean warming. The map illustrates how climate change could affect the global economy as regions connected by trade are affected by changes in crop yield, droughts, flooding and high temperatures. 75pp. You can see how this process works by building a model using everyday items to demonstrate that water expands when heat energy is added. In press. We're here to help. Sign up for a utility discount and get rebates for environmentally friendly practices. We manage Seattle's sewer and drainage systems, including street storm drains and pollution control. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. A third, much smaller contributor to sea level rise is a decline in the amount of liquid water on land—aquifers, lakes and reservoirs, rivers, soil moisture. Using data from scores of stations around the world, scientists can calculate a global average and adjust it for seasonal differences. (2013). Church, J.A., P.U. Explore information about some of Seattle Public Utilities' completed construction projects, including summaries and documentation. Climate change encompasses not only rising average temperatures but also extreme weather events, shifting wildlife populations and habitats, rising seas, and a range of other impacts. In: IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate [H.- O. Pörtner, D.C. Roberts, V. Masson-Delmotte, P. Zhai, M. Tignor, E. Poloczanska, K. Mintenbeck, M. Nicolai, A. Okem, J. Petzold, B. Rama, N. Weyer (eds.)]. In urban settings along coastlines around the world, rising seas threaten infrastructure necessary for local jobs and regional industries. (2019). The base digital elevation model (DEM) used in the analysis was produced using data from the 2016 regional LiDAR project by King County & the Puget Sound LiDAR Consortium. Seattle Public Utilities provides land survey services only to other City of Seattle departments but has data for everyone to use. Seattle Public Utilities maintains 1,600 miles of water pipes. This Scary Map Shows How Climate Change Will Transform Your City Click on your city, and the map will pinpoint a modern analog city that matches what your climate may be in 2080. Observed sea level from tide gauges (dark gray) and satellites (light gray) from 1800-2015, with future sea level through 2100 under six possible future scenarios (colored lines). In all cases, however, rising sea levels are increasing coastal flood risk. We also offer water service in some surrounding areas. These changes will put pressure on drinking water supplies, food production, property values, and more, in the U.S. and all around the world. On future pathways with the highest greenhouse gas emissions, sea level rise could be as high as 8.2 feet (2.5 meters) above 2000 levels by 2100. The higher the sea level, the faster and stronger the return signal is. Leuliette, E. (2014). The maps above show temperature anomalies, or changes, not absolute temperature. PO Box 34018, Seattle, WA, 98124-5177 Regional differences exist because of natural variability in the strength of winds and ocean currents, which influence how much and where the deeper layers of the ocean store heat. Hall, R. Horton, K. Knuuti, R. Moss, J. Obeysekera, A. Sallenger, and J. Weiss. Coastal flooding is on the rise. Church, J. [online] http://cpo.noaa.gov/sites/cpo/Reports/2012/NOAA_SLR_r3.pdf. Cassotta, S., Derkesen, C., Ekaykin, A., Hollowed, A., Kofinas, G., Mackintosh, A., Melbourne-Thomas, J., Muelbert, M.M.C., Ottersen, G., Pritchard, H., and Schuur, E.A.G. Added together (purple line), these separate estimates match the observed sea level very well. Potential Sea-Level Changes. [Online: https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/publications/techrpt83_Global_and_Regional_SLR_Scenarios_for_the_US_final.pdf], Sweet W. V., J. Around the U.S., nuisance flooding has increased dramatically in the past 50 years. [online] http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar5/wg1/WG1AR5_SPM_FINAL.pdf. Data from the Sea Level Rise Viewer were used to create an interactive map that shows how areas vulnerable to flooding today were often marshlands in 1863. Both the low-end and “worst-case” possibilities were revised upward in 2017 following a review by the U.S. Interagency Sea Level Rise Taskforce. The budget of recent global sea level rise: 1995-2013. Connect with coastal stakeholders across the country through this interactive map, which allows you to identify and share your observations and experiences with sea-level rise impacts along Canada's coastline. Pfeffer, D. Stammer and A.S. Unnikrishnan. Find everything to research, obtain permits, install, inspect, or restore pavement for construction involving water lines. The global mean water level in the ocean rose by 0.14 inches (3.6 millimeters) per year from 2006–2015, which was 2.5 times the average rate of 0.06 inches (1.4 millimeters) per year throughout most of the twentieth century. It is based on a weighted average of 373 global tide gauge records collected by the U.S. National Ocean Service, UHSLC, and partner agencies worldwide. Photo by Flickr user James WIlliamor, via a Creative Commons license. Interactive Map Climate change Snapshots of a warming world. When water shifts from land to ocean, the increase in mass increases the strength of gravity over oceans by a small amount. (2013). First, as the oceans warm due to an increasing global temperature, seawater expands—taking up more space in the ocean basin and causing a rise in water level. Alpine glaciers: Another decade of loss. The more recent part of the time series is from the University of Hawaii Sea Level Center. Learn about the water system, water quality labs, and metering. On the bright side, if future energy choices keep us on one the three lowest pathways, Alaska and the Pacific Northwest are likely to experience local sea level rise that is less than the global average. In the early 20th century, the glacier met the water and calved icebergs into a marginal lake near the bay. Rep. NOS CO-OPS 083. Changes in ocean currents such as the Gulf Stream can also affect sea levels by pushing more water against some coastlines and pulling it away from others, raising or lowering sea levels accordingly. How much it will rise depends mostly on the rate of future carbon dioxide emissions and future global warming. Chapter 3: Polar regions. Also read about what to do if your bill seems too high. New Climate Satellite Measures Sea Level Rise Space is the best place — maybe the only place — to get a complete picture of how climate change … Learn environmentally friendly ways you can save money on utilities. NOAA Center for Operational Oceanographic Products and Services. A., and White, N. J. Climate Resilience Toolkit.). The second mechanism is the melting of ice over land, which then adds water to the ocean. Pedersen Glacier, at Aialik Bay in Alaska’s Kenai Mountains, in 1917 (left) and 2005 (right). Between 1993 and 2018, mean sea level has risen across most of the world ocean (blue colors). When water melts from Greenland, for example, the drop in mass decreases the gravitational pull from the ice sheet, causing water to slosh toward the shores of South America. By the end of the century, global mean sea level is likely to rise at least one foot (0.3 meters) above 2000 levels, even if greenhouse gas emissions follow a relatively low pathway in coming decades. The non-vegetated vertical accuracy for the project is calculated at 0.172 feet (0.052 meters). Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Their experts concluded that even with lowest possible greenhouse gas emission pathways, global mean sea level would rise at least 8 inches (0.2 meters) above 1992 levels by 2100. Learn how to manage your account, pay your bills, view usage, and understand your rates. The pace of global sea level rise more than doubled from 1.4 mm per year throughout most of the twentieth century to 3.6 mm per year from 2006–2015. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Higher sea level also means more frequent high-tide flooding, sometimes called “nuisance flooding” because it isn't generally deadly or dangerous, but it can be disruptive and expensive. Explore the programs we offer for you to learn about the environment and get involved. What Caused the Accelerated Sea Level Changes Along the U.S. East Coast During 2010–2015? As the world warms, land ice and ice shelves melt, with their water flowing into the global oceans. Climate change impacts the world’s water in complex ways. https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/sites/3/2019/11/SROCC_FinalDraft_Chapter3.pdf. Our connection to the community is very important. (Explore past and future frequency of high-tide flooding at U.S. locations with the Climate Explorer, part of the U.S. ALL SUCH SLR INFORMATION AND CONTENT IS PROVIDED ON AN "AS IS", "AS AVAILABLE" BASIS WITHOUT WARRANTIES OF ANY KIND EITHER EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO ANY IMPLIED WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY, FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE, ACCURACY, AND NON-INFRINGEMENT. Seattle Public Utilities (SPU) is comprised of three major direct-service providing utilities: the Water Utility, the Drainage and Wastewater Utility, and the Solid Waste Utility. There are many opportunities for you to become involved and help us keep Seattle great. Global Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the US National Climate Assessment. From our watersheds to your streets and parks, we strive to keep Seattle clean and safe. https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/sites/3/2019/11/SROCC_FinalDraft_Chapter3.pdf, https://report.ipcc.ch/srocc/pdf/SROCC_SPM_Approved.pdf, http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar5/wg1/WG1AR5_SPM_FINAL.pdf. The rate of sea level rise is accelerating: it has more than doubled from 0.06 inches (1.4 millimeters) per year throughout most of the twentieth century to 0.14 inches (3.6 millimeters) per year from 2006–2015. The values are shown as change in sea level in millimeters compared to the 1993-2008 average. Sea level has risen 8–9 inches (21–24 centimeters) since 1880. Our large watersheds supply safe and clean drinking water to the greater Seattle area. Mailing Address: Ice loss from the Greenland Ice Sheet increased seven-fold from 34 billion tons per year between 1992-2001 to 247 billion tons per year between 2012 and 2016. Rates of local sea level (dots) can be amplified by geological processes like ground settling or offset by processes like the centuries-long rebound of land masses from the loss of ice age glaciers. Since the 2012 report report, new research has emerged showing that some of the more extreme estimates of how quickly those ice sheets could melt were more plausible than they previously seemed. Sea-Level Rise ("SLR") information is prepared for use by The City of Seattle for its internal purposes only, and is not designed or intended for use by members of the public. http://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-011-9119-1, Domingues, R., Goni, G., Baringer, M., & Volkov, D. (2018). Deeper temperatures are measured by instruments lowered from oceanographic research ships. In 2019, global sea level was 3.4 inches (87.6 mm) above the 1993 average—the highest annual average in the satellite record (1993-present). We have programs to help you save on your utility costs. Climate change is expected to … Frightening climate change map shows Scottish cities under water in 2050 The worst affected parts of Scotland are coastal areas, but the North and South Uist in … At the same time, the volume of the water itself expands when warmed. http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/sod/lsa/SeaLevelRise/documents/NOAA_NESD... https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/, http://cpo.noaa.gov/sites/cpo/Reports/2012/NOAA_SLR_r3.pdf, http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2019/03/alpine-glaciers-another-decade-of-loss/, https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/publications/techrpt83_Global_and_Regional_SLR_Scenarios_for_the_US_final.pdf, https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/publications/NOAA_Technical_Report_NOS_COOPS_073.pdf, Explaining the NOAA Sea Level Rise Viewer, Rising Sea Levels Threaten Hawaiian Sea Turtles’ Nesting Sites, Climate Change: Arctic sea ice summer minimum. Gregory, S. Jevrejeva, A. Levermann, M.A. The map of the United Kingdom is … Milne, R.S. If we follow a pathway with high emissions,  a worst-case scenario of as much as 8.2 feet (2.5 meters) above 2000 levels by 2100 cannot be ruled out. Frightening climate change map shows huge swathes of UK under water ... ice sheets and glaciers melt and warming sea water expands, ... sea levels could rise between 2ft … How fast it will rise depends mostly on the rate of glacier and ice sheet melting. In some ocean basins, sea level has risen as much as 6-8 inches (15-20 centimeters) since the start of the satellite record. Surveys in Geophysics, 32(4-5), 585–602. Access manuals, design specifications, and guidelines to meet design and construction rules and requirements, including CAD resources. SPU has several financial assistance resources available, including flexible payment plans, utility discounts, and emergency bill assistance. The Social Vulnerability Index , which shows areas of high human vulnerability to hazards, is based on population attributes from Census 2010 (e.g., age and poverty) and the built environment. https://www.climate.gov/maps-data/dataset/sea-level-rise-map-viewer We provide construction professionals with guidelines, specifications, and permits to connect to Seattle's water and sewer systems. In some ocean basins, sea level has risen as much as 6-8 inches (15-20 centimeters) since the start of the satellite record in 1993. Since the early 1990s, sea level has been measured from space using radar altimeters, which determine the height of the sea surface by measuring the return speed and intensity of a radar pulse directed at the ocean. Sea Level Change. King Tides: Snap the Shore, See the Future A collaboration of NOAA’s Office for Coastal Management and the King Tides Project to help people understand the global impact of sea level rise. Learn about our commitment to equitable service and civic partnerships. ... Sea-Level Rise. We also help manage construction waste. Globally, sea levels have risen about 7 inches since the beginning of the 20th century. [online pdf] http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/sod/lsa/SeaLevelRise/documents/NOAA_NESD.... Accessed November 18, 2019. NOAA Climate.gov graph, adapted from Figure 8 in Sweet et al., 2017. Learn about our ongoing maintenance of these pipes and how this work can impact your neighborhood. In the natural world, rising sea level creates stress on coastal ecosystems that provide recreation, protection from storms, and habitat for fish and wildlife, including commercially valuable fisheries. Photos courtesy of Louis H. Pedersen (1917) and Bruce F. Molina (2005), obtained from the Glacier Photograph Collection, Boulder, Colorado USA: National Snow and Ice Data Center/World Data Center for Glaciology. Sweet W. V., J feedback to offer on this or another article? us. 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